The rise and flaws of the mission machine: A historical critique of research success metrics since the 1960s

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  1. Gabi Lombardo ,  
  2. Jonathan Deer ,  
  3. Poul Holm
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Abstract

Science policy systems depend on indicators to ensure that vast sums of money are spent in a transparent and accountable way and to help deliver national level policy objectives of government. In this article, we investigate why and how the key accounting system, the Frascati manual was developed and maintained over time, despite being increasingly at variance with contemporary science policy objectives. The manual has undergone several updates and revisions but remains based on a set of parameters originally designed to measure research activity as it was performed and understood over 60 years ago. We argue that the manual is ill-equipped to capture fundamental changes in research resulting from breakthroughs in multidisciplinary approaches, digital technologies, and the co-creation of knowledge in partnerships in recent decades, and poorly equipped to measure the impact of the social and human sciences. In conclusion, science policy today is served by a systematically biased accounting system: in essence, a flawed Mission Machine.

Plain Language Summary

Science policy relies on indicators to show how public money for research is spent. This article looks at the Frascati Manual—an international system used to track research funding. First created over 60 years ago, it has been updated several times but still reflects old ways of doing research. Today, research is often multidisciplinary, digital, and done through partnerships between universities, businesses, and communities. The manual struggles to account for these changes and does not measure the impact of the social sciences and humanities well. As a result, decisions about science funding are still based on an outdated system. The article argues that this creates a built-in bias in how we understand and support research. In short, today’s science policy is being guided by a tool that no longer fits the job—a flawed “Mission Machine” that needs urgent reform.

Corresponding author
Gabi Lombardo
0000-0002-0170-4566
Grant information

This project has received funding from the European Research Council (ERC) under the [European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme] (Grant agreement No. [951649]) and Swedish Tercentenary Fund.

The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Copyright
© 2026 Gabi Lombardo (Corresponding Author, Co-Author); Jonathan Deer (Co-Author); Poul Holm (Co-Author) Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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Amendment

We would like to thank the reviewers for their careful reading of the manuscript and for their constructive and insightful comments. We have revised the article substantially in response, particularly by strengthening the analytical framing, situating the argument more explicitly within broader systems of national accounting, and clarifying the theoretical and policy implications of our findings.
We now explicitly situate the emergence of the Frascati Manual within the wider post-war expansion of national accounting systems, including the development of the System of National Accounts and related statistical domains (e.g. trade and investment). A new subsection, “National accounting and the rise of measurement,” has been added to demonstrate how R&D accounting formed part of a broader shift toward standardised, comparable economic indicators. This addition clarifies how the methodological choices embedded in the Frascati Manual reflected wider epistemic and policy trends rather than purely internal developments within science policy.
We now explicitly argue that the coexistence of UNESCO, OECD, and European Community approaches produced a layered system of research governance. This helps explain national variation in the adoption and adaptation of the Frascati framework and reinforces our broader argument about the historically contingent nature of research accounting systems.
The revised conclusion is now structured to ensure that the conclusion moves beyond summary and directly engages with the broader significance of the article.
Reviewer 2 offers additional points that go beyond the historical interest of our paper but certainly are relevant and important for any future Mission Machine. We have not discussed the points about what needs to be addressed by any future manual, including the need to adjust to the requirements of AI and the New Space Economy.

Comments

Authors & roles

Gabi Lombardo

European Alliance of SSH, 54, Boulevard Raspail, 75006 Paris, France

Roles
Corresponding Author, Co-Author, Conceptualization, Investigation, Writing – Original Draft Preparation
0000-0002-0170-4566

Jonathan Deer

Research and Enterprise, City St. George's, University of London, London, EC1V 0HB, UK

Roles
Co-Author, Investigation
0000-0001-6379-5689

Poul Holm

Trinity Centre for Environmental Humanities, School of Histories and Humanities, The University of Dublin Trinity College, Dublin 2, D02PN40, Ireland

Roles
Co-Author, Funding Acquisition, Methodology, Writing – Review & Editing
0000-0003-3927-3308

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